I suspect this is a game rather difficult to assess for the bookies and
my model does not agree with their estimate of the most likely outcome
for over/under. It sees the overs as the most probable with a 53% chance
which would mean an odd of 1.89. Since the bookies offer 2.13 here I
will happily back the overs. Southampton ranks 5th for both shots and
shots on target at home this season while watford has averaged 2 goals
per game in their last 3 away encounters. This is huge and they rank 2nd
on that statistic. overs all the way for me.
Date: 13-1-2016 19:45
Pick: Over 2.5 @ 2.13
Category: England - EPL
Fixtures - All matches
| Match |
league |
|
D1 - 1 vs Aston Villa (H)
|
Premier League |
05/12/2015 |
|
L0 - 1 vs Crystal Palace (A)
|
Premier League |
12/12/2015 |
|
L0 - 2 vs Tottenham Hotspur (H)
|
Premier League |
19/12/2015 |
|
W4 - 0 vs Arsenal (H)
|
Premier League |
26/12/2015 |
|
L1 - 2 vs West Ham United (A)
|
Premier League |
28/12/2015 |
|
L0 - 1 vs Norwich City (A)
|
Premier League |
02/01/2016 |
|
L1 - 2 vs Crystal Palace (H)
|
FA Cup |
09/01/2016 |
| vs Watford (H) |
Premier League |
13/01/2016 |
| vs West Bromwich Albion (H) |
Premier League |
16/01/2016 |
| vs Manchester United (A) |
Premier League |
23/01/2016 |
| Match |
league |
|
W2 - 0 vs Norwich City (H)
|
Premier League |
05/12/2015 |
|
W1 - 0 vs Sunderland (A)
|
Premier League |
12/12/2015 |
|
W3 - 0 vs Liverpool (H)
|
Premier League |
20/12/2015 |
|
D2 - 2 vs Chelsea (A)
|
Premier League |
26/12/2015 |
|
L1 - 2 vs Tottenham Hotspur (H)
|
Premier League |
28/12/2015 |
|
L1 - 2 vs Manchester City (H)
|
Premier League |
02/01/2016 |
|
W1 - 0 vs Newcastle United (H)
|
FA Cup |
09/01/2016 |
| vs Eintracht Braunschweig (A) |
Club Friendlies 1 |
17/07/2015 |
| vs Southampton (A) |
Premier League |
13/01/2016 |
| vs Swansea City (A) |
Premier League |
18/01/2016 |
Fixtures - Head to Head
| league |
|
D
Watford
|
0 - 0 |
D
Southampton
|
Premier League |
23/08/2015 |
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